APAPC (Asia Pacific Association of Political Consultants) is an international organization whose primary mission is to promote democracy. It has commissioned Roy Morgan Research to provide a neutral monthly political monitor to the people of Indonesia, the political parties and the media.
The latest polling conducted in May 2012 shows a slip in support for Aburizal Bakrie, now 18%, dropping to 2nd position from No.1 in April. For three months now, Prabowo Subianto remains consistently at 20%.
The poll continues to show that Prabowo Subianto and Aburizal Bakrie are the two strongest candidates. With only 2 percentage point difference between each other, consistently for the past 3 months, they are competing neck-to-neck. This is within the margin of error in polling surveys. With names like Megawati Sukarnoputri and Jusuf Kalla unlikely to run at the 2014 election, the results show Prabowo and Aburizal are the only 2 strong candidates among the 10 most likely to run for president. The other 8 candidates trail significantly behind.
Dahlan Iskan continues to increase in popularity and is now at 8%, jumping 3 points from April. He follows very closely behind the Sultan who dropped to 9% from 11%.
When taking into consideration a second or more choices, Prabowo also still attracts a larger number jumping to 34%, while Aburizal climbs to 27%, still at No. 2.
With regard to electing representatives for the DPR, Partai Demokrat climbed slightly in May 2012 after their continuous slide, now at 21%. Both PDIP and Golkar slipped, both at 14%.
Gerindra is still holding on to 4th position at 8% with a slight increase from April. PKS grew and is now just behind Gerindra in 5th position at 6%. PKB lost its previous gains and now dropped again below PKS and PAN.
Commissioned by APAPC, Roy Morgan has conducted this survey with a robust sample of over 2000 respondents each month. Respondents are interviewed in 17 provinces, home to 87% of the population, 83% of the Dapils and 464 out of 560 seats at the parliament.